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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jul 26, 2023 02:00PM ET
1
Weeks
5
Days
14
Hours
0
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 26, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.888
5.00 - 5.25
7.0%
5.25 - 5.50
93.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 93.0% | 90.5% | 91.8% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 20, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.690
5.00 - 5.25
6.2%
5.25 - 5.50
82.7%
5.50 - 5.75
11.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 82.7% | 77.6% | 66.7% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 11.2% | 14.5% | 27.5% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 01, 2023 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.630
5.00 - 5.25
5.6%
5.25 - 5.50
75.7%
5.50 - 5.75
17.7%
5.75 - 6.00
1.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 75.7% | 65.4% | 51.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 17.7% | 25.5% | 37.4% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 6.9% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 13, 2023 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.680
4.75 - 5.00
1.2%
5.00 - 5.25
20.6%
5.25 - 5.50
63.3%
5.50 - 5.75
14.1%
5.75 - 6.00
0.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 20.6% | 19.5% | 8.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 63.3% | 56.6% | 50.2% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 14.1% | 20.5% | 34.8% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.8% | 2.0% | 6.3% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.705
4.50 - 4.75
0.6%
4.75 - 5.00
11.6%
5.00 - 5.25
43.5%
5.25 - 5.50
36.9%
5.50 - 5.75
7.0%
5.75 - 6.00
0.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 11.6% | 9.7% | 2.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 43.5% | 36.4% | 17.8% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 36.9% | 40.2% | 46.7% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 7.0% | 12.1% | 28.3% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 4.9% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 20, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.875
4.25 - 4.50
0.5%
4.50 - 4.75
9.2%
4.75 - 5.00
36.5%
5.00 - 5.25
38.3%
5.25 - 5.50
13.5%
5.50 - 5.75
1.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 9.2% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 36.5% | 26.8% | 7.5% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 27.6% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 13.5% | 22.2% | 40.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 1.8% | 5.0% | 20.4% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 3.2% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 01, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.240
3.75 - 4.00
0.1%
4.00 - 4.25
2.6%
4.25 - 4.50
15.7%
4.50 - 4.75
37.0%
4.75 - 5.00
32.4%
5.00 - 5.25
10.7%
5.25 - 5.50
1.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.1% | 0.0% | — |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 15.7% | 8.4% | 0.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 37.0% | 27.9% | 5.8% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 32.4% | 37.2% | 22.7% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 10.7% | 20.5% | 37.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 1.4% | 4.6% | 25.3% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 7.4% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | — | 0.8% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 19, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.385
3.75 - 4.00
1.2%
4.00 - 4.25
8.5%
4.25 - 4.50
25.3%
4.50 - 4.75
34.9%
4.75 - 5.00
22.6%
5.00 - 5.25
6.5%
5.25 - 5.50
0.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.1% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 8.5% | 5.1% | 0.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 25.3% | 19.3% | 2.5% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 34.9% | 33.1% | 12.0% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 22.6% | 27.9% | 28.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 6.5% | 11.7% | 32.9% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 18.8% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | 0.2% | 5.0% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | — | 0.5% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 31, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.460
3.50 - 3.75
1.1%
3.75 - 4.00
7.9%
4.00 - 4.25
23.8%
4.25 - 4.50
34.0%
4.50 - 4.75
23.7%
4.75 - 5.00
8.0%
5.00 - 5.25
1.3%
5.25 - 5.50
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 23.8% | 16.8% | 1.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 34.0% | 30.7% | 9.0% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 23.7% | 28.8% | 22.9% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 8.0% | 14.5% | 31.4% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 1.3% | 3.9% | 23.3% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.1% | 0.5% | 9.4% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.9% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | — | 0.2% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 25, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.815
3.00 - 3.25
0.2%
3.25 - 3.50
1.8%
3.50 - 3.75
9.5%
3.75 - 4.00
24.8%
4.00 - 4.25
33.0%
4.25 - 4.50
22.2%
4.50 - 4.75
7.3%
4.75 - 5.00
1.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.2% | 0.0% | — |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.8% | 14.1% | 1.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 33.0% | 27.6% | 7.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 22.2% | 29.2% | 19.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 7.3% | 17.6% | 29.3% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 1.2% | 6.2% | 25.2% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 0.1% | 1.3% | 12.7% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 3.7% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | — | 0.0% | 0.6% |
| 5.75 - 6.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 06, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.120
2.75 - 3.00
0.3%
3.00 - 3.25
2.3%
3.25 - 3.50
10.4%
3.50 - 3.75
25.3%
3.75 - 4.00
32.4%
4.00 - 4.25
21.3%
4.25 - 4.50
6.9%
4.50 - 4.75
1.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | — | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 10.4% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 25.3% | 14.6% | 2.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 32.4% | 27.7% | 8.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 21.3% | 28.8% | 20.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 6.9% | 17.2% | 28.8% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 1.1% | 6.0% | 23.7% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 0.1% | 1.2% | 11.7% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 3.4% |
| 5.25 - 5.50 | — | 0.0% | 0.5% |
| 5.50 - 5.75 | — | — | 0.0% |
Updated: Jul 13, 2023 11:35PM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
U.S. stocks are rising after another report showing cooling inflation
By Investing.com - Jul 13, 2023
51
Investing.com -- U.S. stocks were rising after another inflation gauge confirmed that prices are cooling, giving the Federal Reserve wiggle room when it comes to ending interest rate increases. At...
Crude oil stabilizes after soft U.S. PPI data
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1
Investing.com -- Crude oil prices stabilized Thursday, after healthy gains this week after soft U.S. inflation data raised expectations interest rate increases in the world’s largest economy were...
U.S. PPI cools to 0.1% in June
By Investing.com - Jul 13, 2023
26
Investing.com -- Growth in U.S. producer prices eased by more than expected in June in the latest sign of fading inflationary pressures in the world's largest economy, bolstering the case for the...
Analysis
Top 20 Tech Stocks to Buy as Nasdaq Soars Amid Cooling Inflation
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8
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Gold's latest pullback has left traders really down on it, fueling mounting bearishness and apathy. But that healthy selloff accomplished its mission of rebalancing sentiment, eradicating early May’s...
Will JPMorgan's Strong Outlook Sustain Through the Second Half of the Year?
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JPMorgan reported blockbuster Q1 earnings Can the bank maintain its path and meet expectations in Q2? Let's delve into the company's financials, which indicate that looks likely InvestingPro Summer...